
Lock all of your home loans at application. We really saved a bunch of money these past two weeks by floating the mortgage rate.
The mortgage bond market anticipates a Fed Funds cut this week. While we don't think the Fed will cut rates again, we realized that the bond traders do. The perception that the Fed will be lowering rates, this week, is disappearing.
We didn't see the 30 year fixed rate loan fall below 6% but we did see the 5 and 7 year ARMs drop dramatically. Lock your mortgage rate today. If you're applying for a loan, lock at application.
Check out a new blog braging about NELA to the rest of the world. It's called YORK BLVD. http://yorkblvd.com/
One thing for sure, you can't go wrong with the Pub Crawl recommendations! http://yorkblvd.com/2007/10/22/highland-park-pub-crawl/
The eccentric neighborhood of Highland Park sits in a compact valley stretching between downtown L.A. and Pasadena, along the Arroyo Seco.
http://www.calendarlive.com/printedition/calendar/cl-gd-go25oct25,0,5929446.story?coll=cl-calendar
We're
still cautiously floating the rate in anticipation of mortgage rates
below 6%. The economic data being released suggests that we are in a
recession; that would imply that the Fed will be lowering the Fed Fund
rate again. There really is no market moving data due out until the
last day of the month.
If your loan in Los Angeles is due
to close in the next 10 days, go ahead and lock the mortgage rate.
Otherwise, continue to cautiously float that rate.
We had quite a scare, in Southern California, earlier this week and we're not out of the woods yet. My family was literally "on the move" as this wildfire threatened to move into our town. Laurie Manny and Jeff Brown kept most of youup to date about my family's evacuation; I'm grateful to both of them for that.
Today, it's back to the markets and the markets say float. Keep checking in for updates.
his is what I love about the Old L.A. (Highland Park) Farmers Market – not having to cook dinner! Well, I do love to cook, but some days, it’s just not going to happen. Just because I don’t want to cook doesn’t mean I don’t want to eat something tasty and satisfying. That’s where the market comes in, conveniently scheduled around dinner-time.
This week I picked up tamales – chile / jack cheese for me and chicken and pork for my husband. Along with a green salad (greens from the market, of course), they made a great, light supper and took no time at all to prepare (just unwrap the corn husks). Other good options for dinner on the go are tacos and roasted chickens. There are still stone fruits to be found, even at this time of year. Try slicing some fresh peaches or nectarines on top of vanilla ice cream for a (relatively) healthy finale to your quick and easy dinner.
The market is found every Tuesday from 3- 8 p.m. on Avenue 58 and Marmion Way, between the Gold Line station and Figueroa Blvd. There is FREE PARKING after 4 p.m. in the lot adjacent to the market.
See you there. ML
Market activity in zip codes 90031, 90032, 90041, 90042, 90065 for October 15 through October 21, 2007, as reported in I-Tech MLS
Come spend your day exploring the amazing artists of Northeast L. A. From Susan Moss' funky storefront on York Boulevard to Linda Lyke's aerie studio to Raoul de la Sota's wonderful craftsman in the heart of Highland Park to Heather McLarty's blacksmithing forge in her backyard teepee to Gwen Freeman's historic Mt. Washington hilltop craftsman to J. Michael Walker's "All the Saints of Los Angeles" to Maggie Haase's intimate paintings of flowers in her studio overlooking her raised bed 30 fruit tree backyard orchard in downtown Eagle Rock.
The Arroyo Arts Collective, a grassroots community artists' organization in Northeast Los Angeles, presents "It's Time for the 15th annual Discovery Tour" -- a self-guided auto tour of artists' homes and studios in Highland Park, Eagle Rock and Mount Washington. This year, with clocks the traditional 15th anniversary gift, the theme of the Tour is time - on Sunday, November 18, Tour goers are invited to stop clockwatching and have a good time visiting artists' homes and studios. They will have the opportunity to discover work by over 100 local artists, featuring such diverse work as paintings, sculptures, ceramics, collage, assemblage, computer graphics, photography, letterpress, printmaking, fiber arts and Native American beading. View the homes and studios of real live artists! Where else can you see a woman blacksmith, the fabulous Chicken Boy, discuss Mejica cosmology, and ponder photo shopped versus old school photography on the same day? In time for the holidays, artist-made clocks will also be available for sale at the Lummis Home.
Tour tickets can be purchased in advance ($10) online at www.ArroyoArtsCollective.org and at Galco's Old World Grocery, 5702 York Boulevard, Highland Park. Tickets the day of the tour ($15) will be available at the Charles Lummis Home located at 200 E. Avenue 43 in Highland Park. Tour ticket holders will receive a comprehensive map of artists' studios and homes; studios and homes will be open between 10 a.m. and 6:00 p.m.
A preview party showcasing Tour artists and their work will be held in conjunction with NELAart Second Saturday Gallery Night on Saturday, November 11 at the Acorn Gallery, 135 N. Avenue 50, Highland Park. Artist images and links will also be posted at www.ArroyoArtsCollective.org prior to the Tour.
Los enlaces de hipoteca han aumentado enormemente puesto que mi recomendación de flotar el miércoles. Si usted tiene que cerrar un préstamo en menos de 10 días, y usted está flotando la tarifa, es tan bueno ahora como en caulquier momento trabarla. Si usted tiene más de 10 días para cerrar el préstamo o apenas para haber hecho el uso en una hipoteca en Los Ángeles, todavía pienso que usted puede sostener hacia fuera y flotar la tarifa de hipoteca.
Ahora le deseo "flotar cautelosomente". Esto significa que usted preste más atención. Llame a su consejero del préstamo cada día antes de almorzar. No importa que lo este molesando...al contrario, es su trabajo. Si su consejero del préstamo no tiene acceso a las cotizaciones vivas del enlace de hipoteca, entonces usted está perdiendo su dinero. Tomé una aplicacion de préstamo el miércoles, aconsejando les "para flotar" la tarifa en vez de trabar-en, y les he ahorrado cerca de $3,000 en fecha hoy.Pienso que veremos el mercado de las obligaciones fuerte tener un efecto en las tarifas de hipoteca de lunes. Espero que la tarifa fijada 30 años, documentación completa, préstamo debajo de $417.000, caiga abajo el 6%, la semana próxima temprana.
Today is the 20th anniversary of "Black Monday", the close to 23% single-day decline in the stock market.
Mortgage bonds have increased tremendously since my recommendation to float on Wednesday. If you have to close a loan in less than 10 days, and you are floating the rate, now is as good as any time to lock it. If you have more than 10 days to close the loan or have just made application on a mortgage in Los Angeles, I still think you can hold out and float the mortgage rate.
I now want you to "cautiously float". This means that you pay more attention. Call your loan adviser every day, right before lunch. If your loan adviser doesn't have access to live mortgage bond quotes, he/she is wasting your money. I took a loan application on Wednesday, advised them to "float" the rate instead of locking-in, and it has saved them close to $3,000 as of today.
I think we'll see the strong bond market have an effect on Monday's mortgage rates. I expect the 30 year fixed rate, full documentation, loan under $417,000, to drop below 6%, early next week.
La inflación (CPI) era un pedacito más arriba que esperado; agradezca precios más altos del aceite y de alimento por ése.
Quite el corazón al CPI que es el número de la inflación sin los precios del aceite y de alimento calculados adentro, era más bajo que esperado. Esto significa que los precios de mercancías y de servicios están sintiendo el sujetador de precios más altos del aceite y de alimento. Eso no hace que usted siente ningún mejor si usted conduce un coche y come; los precios siguen siendo más altos. Significa que los precios altos más elevados de las mercancías de la grapa podrían lanzarnos en una retardación económica.
El comienzo de cubierta era el más bajo que él ha sido en 14 años. Esto significa que los constructores no están construyendo. Mientras que ésta es malas noticias para el mercado de cubierta HOY, significará que habrá menos hogares disponibles para la venta mañana. Las figuras feas preceden a veces rebotes; apenas no se sentirá bien mientras que estamos pasando con él.
Esas figuras señalan más cortes del nivel de entrada y los enlaces de hipoteca aman eso. Espere trabarse en tarifas debajo del 6% la semana próxima para conformarse, préstamos lleno-doc.. ¡Permanezca ágil! En esta economía, las noticias viajan como el relámpago. Mientras que estoy razonablemente seguro que tarifas más bajas están en el horizonte a corto plazo, ésa podría cambiar rápidamente.
Siga visitando aqui para saber si hay más información.
Recommendation Change: It's time to start floating those loans! We should be watching mortgage rates in Los Angeles drop lower these next 3-7 days. Do not lock in your mortgage rate at application; lower rates may be here next week.
Two big numbers came out today:
Inflation (CPI) was a bit higher than expected; thank higher oil and food prices for that.
Core CPI- That's the inflation number without the oil and food prices figured in, was lower than expected. This means that prices of goods and services are feeling the pinch of higher oil and food prices. That doesn't make you feel any better if you drive a car and eat; prices are still higher. It does mean that the higher prices of staple goods could throw us into an economic slowdown.
Housing starts were the lowest they have been in 14 years. This means that builders ain't building. While this is bad news for the housing market TODAY, it will mean that there will be less homes available for sale tomorrow. Ugly figures sometimes precede rebounds; it just won't feel good while we're going through it.
Those figures signal more Fed rate cuts and mortgage bonds love that. Expect to lock into rates below 6% next week for conforming, full-doc loans. Stay nimble! In this economy, news travels like lightning. While I'm reasonably certain that lower rates are on the near-term horizon, that could change quickly.
Keep checking back for more information.
Tardeada and Art Auction
Please join us for a Tardeada of art, music, food and friendship
When: Saturday, October 27, 2007 from 2-6 pm
Where: The home of Ricardo and Maria Teresa Muñoz, 284
St. Albans Avenue, So. Pasadena, CA 91030
What: Silent and Live Art Auction Fundraiser in Support of the Avenue 50 Studio
Music provided by: Gabriel Reyna - Flamenco Guitar; and Carlos Guitarlos - the Blues
The Avenue 50 Studio is an art gallery in the Highland Park community of Northeast Los Angeles. Our mission is to promote the visual arts through diverse mediums showcasing multicultural artists on a local, national and international level. These collaborations help develop an exposure to the community of Northeast Los Angeles of our rich and enduring cultural treasures.
Participating artists (currently):
Vibiana Aparicio-Chamberlain, Linda Arreola, Magda Audifred, Sheila Baird, Raul Baltazar, Sam Baray,
Caridad Barragan, Armando Brito, Mita Cuaron, Raoul De la Sota, John DeHeras, Roberto Delgado, Ulises Diaz, Judith Duran, Ofelia Esparza, Margaret Garcia, Mark Steven Greenfield, CiCi Segura Gonzalez, Daniel Gonzalez, Yolanda Gonzalez, Roberto Gutierrez, Cidne Hart, Kevin Hass, Wayne Healy, Heather Hoggan, Leo Limon, Jose Lopes, Pola Lopez, Jose Lozano, Eriberto Luna, Oscar Magallanes, Brian Mallman, Mary Mallman, Poli Marichal, Aaron Martinez, Isabel Martinez, Ricardo Mendoza, Stephanie Mercado, Andrés Montoya, Don Newton, Ramses Noriega, Don Normark, Jose Orozco, Gil Ortiz, Tomas Owen, Paul Pitsker, Estate of Anthony Quinn, Ramon Ramirez, Stuart Rapeport, Reyes Rodriguez, Sandy Rodriguez, Nancy Romero, Frank and Sharon Romero, Sonia Romero, Betye Saar, Oscar Sanabria, Peri Shefik, Cindy Suriyani, Howard Swerdloff, Alberto Varela, Linda Vallejo, Francisco Vidal, J. Michael Walker, Lamonte Westmoreland, Nan Wollman, Jaime Zacarias (Germs)
We would like to thank the following sponsors:
NELAart.org, Highland Park Heritage Trust, Bob Taylor Realty, M.A.N. Insurance, Arroyo Arts Collective, LA Commons, Crop Salon, A&S Investment, Fast Frames of Glendale, Carrie Adrian Cuban and Latin American Art
And the following food sponsors:
Mama's Hot Tamales. Arco Iris Restaurant. Camilo's California Bistro. Colombo's. Ted Waltz and Carol
Colin, Trader Joe's, Fatty's, La Fuente Mexican Restaurant, Chicos Mexican Restaurant, Cinnamon Vegetarian Restaurant, The Coffee Table Bistro, Larkin’s, Classic Thai Restaurant, Il Fornaio Pasadena
And the following Friends of the Avenue 50 Studio:
That Yarn Store, Latino Arts Network, Colorado Wine Co., Social and Public Art Resource Center (SPARC), Jaime Gallardo Bodyworks, Better than Chocolate
Tax deductible donations: $25 per person or 40 per couple Non-Profit ID No.: 54-2088575
Contact the Avenue 50 Studio at 323/258-1435 for ticket information, or you can make checks payable to “Avenue 50 Studio” (include phone number for confirmation) and mail to: Avenue 50 Studio, Inc.
131 No. Avenue 50, Los Angeles, CA 90042 323/258-1435
www.avenue50studio.com ave50studio@sbcglobal.net
More new vendors at the market this week: now we have kettle corn!
Now that fall is here, I am in the mood for soup. Each week I visit the market, I am on the hunt for soup ingredients. This week it is potatoes and leeks procured from the market. I make the soup in my slow cooker and let it simmer all day while I work, run errands and otherwise ignore it until it’s ready to puree with a stick blender and then eat. It’s smooth, creamy and satisfying on these days that are getting shorter and cooler in the evenings.
I am also making an attempt to try at least one new thing every week, so this time I bought persimmons, which I admit to never having eaten before… I am not sure what to do with them, but I did find these recipes on the web:
http://www.seasonalchef.com/persimmonrecipes.htm
If any of you have favorite recipes or ways of eating fresh persimmons, please let me know! I could use some help.
I am also trying to put into practice the old adage “An apple a day….” I’m stocking up each week and trying to eat a whole apple every single day, as a snack or as part of a meal, chopped up in a salad or thinly sliced on a grilled cheese sandwich. There are several varieties to choose from; they are super portable and last all week long in the fruit bowl.
The market is found every Tuesday from 3- 8 p.m. on Avenue 58 and Marmion Way, between the Gold Line station and Figueroa Blvd. There is FREE PARKING after 4 p.m. in the lot adjacent to the market.
See you there. ML
Market activity in zip codes 90031, 90032, 90041, 90042, 90065 for October 8 through October 14, 2007, as reported in I-Tech MLS
TERA's eighth annual Eclectic Eagle Rock Home Tour is TODAY, SUNDAY, Oct. 14th, 10 am to 4 pm.
The tour will feature an eclectic diversity of architecture and design, starting with a beautifully restored hilltop Craftsman with Oriental influences, built in 1911. There will also be five other homes of Spanish Revival, Mediterranean and mixed styles, all lovingly preserved or restored. Along with the homes, this year's tour will feature demonstrations and displays by artisans and craftsmen.
Tour tickets are $20 ($15 in advance for TERA members) and are available online from TERA. They are also available at three Eagle Rock merchants:
Blue Heeler, 5058 Eagle Rock Blvd.
Colorado Wine Company, 2114 Colorado Blvd.
Pollen, 1583 Colorado Blvd.
Tickets will also be available at the start of the tour at the Eagles Social Hall, 1596 Yosemite Drive, Los Angeles, CA 90041 (corner of Townsend). From the social hall a complimentary shuttle will bring tour attendees to the homes.
For additional information, call (323) 799-1190 or visit: http://www.tera90041.org
TERA, The Eagle Rock Association | P.O. Box 41453 | Eagle Rock | CA | 90041
The second Saturday of every month is Gallery Night in Northeast Los Angeles : Your opportunity to explore the Galleries, Shops, Restaurants and Nightlife in the historic and eclectic neighborhoods of Northeast Los Angeles. Maybe even purchase art for your home or office.
Tour participating galleries this Saturday, October 13, from 7PM - 10 PM, then wrap with drinks and music at Mr. T's Bowl, or La Casa Blue.
More info here: http://www.nelaart.org/
And here: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/NELAart/
Mr. T's Bowl: http://mrtsbowl.tripod.com/
Highland Perk/La Casa Blue: http://www.lacasablue.com/
Miremos la carta de hoy:
Esta demostración de la carta los precios de seguridades mortgage-backed alto-negociadas. La demuestro con el permiso de la guía del mercado de hipoteca.Hay dos cosas que se están preocupando me ahora:
1. mirada en la barra verde a la derecha; el precio para el enlace de hipoteca de FNMA 6.0 se cerró debajo de igualdad (o 100). Eso significa que el enlace, publicado al principio del año, vale menos que el precio de edición original. Mientras que ese los medios poco fundamental, él significan una porción entera psicologicamente.
2. el aviso ese el precio se cerró DEBAJO de la línea azul. La línea azul es el promedio móvil de 200 días. El significa que los precios se parecen tender más bajo que significa que las tarifas de hipoteca puede levantarse.
¿Pueden los precios despedir detrás? Por supuesto pueden. Viernes es un día grande, sin embargo. Las figuras de las ventas al por menor se están lanzando viernes. Conseguiremos una ojeada en el comportamiento del gasto del consumidor. Si el consumidor ha estado ausente, la economía está ablandando que podría significar que más alimentaron los cortes que serían grandes para las tarifas de hipoteca. Si ese número demuestra que no afectan al consumidor y ha estado comprando el plasma TV en Costco, es una apuesta segura que los cortes del tipo de interés habrán parado.
El afectar en el mercado de las obligaciones de hipoteca podía ser brutal. Los enlaces de hipoteca son débiles (están debajo de la "igualdad" que tasa y debajo del promedio móvil de 200 días). Un poco hiccup y nosotros podíamos considerar gota de los precios toda la manera abajo a la línea roja. Que la gota en enlaces de hipoteca podría traducir a un alza completa del .25% o del .375% en tarifas de hipoteca.
¿Le confundí? Espero no. Ésta es materia aburrida bonita al no profesional. ¿Los dueños caseros de Los Ángeles necesitan una hipoteca cada 3-4 años en la mayoría, derecho? La cosa importante es que usted trata de un consejero de la hipoteca que tenga acceso a estas herramientas y sabe interpretarlas. Usted debe estar trabar-en su tarifa del mortage en el uso, por lo menos hasta que vemos lo que parecen los números el viernes.
¿Cómo sé esto? ¡Mire la carta! Éntreme en contacto con para una explicación mejor. Me plazco demostrarle estas cartas en línea y hablarle con ella en el teléfono.
I'm often asked how I come up with my advice to lock or float the mortgage rate when Los Angeles home buyers read the Los Angeles Mortgage Rates Report. Well, I read a lot, that's for sure. I read Bloomberg.com and the Mortgage Market Guide research which gives me access to real-time quotes of mortgage-backed securities. The charts I review of mortgage-backed securties prices give me an idea of what the short-term trend looks like.
Let's look at today's chart:
This chart show the prices of highly-traded mortgage-backed securities. I show it with permission from the Mortgage Market Guide.
There are two things that are worrying me right now:
1- Look at the green bar on the right; the price for the FNMA 6.0 mortgage bond closed below par (or 100). That means that the bond, issued at the beginning of the year, is worth less than the original issue price. While that means little fundamentally, it means a whole lot psychologically.
2- Notice that the price closed BELOW the blue line. The blue line is the 200 day moving average. This means that prices seem to be trending lower which means mortgage rates can rise.
Can prices bounce back? Of course they can. Friday is a big day, however. The retail sales' figures are being released Friday. We'll get a glimpse into the consumer spending behavior. If the consumer has been absent, the economy is softening which could mean more Fed cuts- that would be great for mortgage rates. If that number demonstrates that the consumer isn't affected and has been buying plasma TVs at Costco, it's a safe bet that interest rate cuts will have stopped.
The affect on the mortgage bond market could be brutal. Mortgage bonds are weak (they're below the "par" pricing and below the 200 day moving average). One little hiccup and we could see prices drop all the way down to the red line. That drop in mortgage bonds could translate to a full .25% or .375% hike in mortgage rates.
Did I confuse you? I hope not. This is pretty boring stuff to the non-professional. Los Angeles home owners need a mortgage every 3-4 years at most, right? The important thing is that you deal with a mortgage adviser who has access to these tools and knows how to interpret them. You should be locking-in your mortage rate at application, at least until we see what the numbers look like on Friday.
How do I know this? Look at the chart ! Contact me for a better explanation. I'm happy to show you these charts online and talk you through it on the telephone.
A Day of the Dead Exhibition deadicated to "The Godfather of Soul" James Brown
Opening Reception: Oct 13, 2007, 7-11pm
Day of the Dead Altars, Installations, Shoes and Hot Pants
The Avenue 50 Studio is proud to present a Dia De los Muertos exhibition deadicated to James Brown curated by Sandy Rodriguez entitled "Please, Please, Please Don’t Go". The exhibit will consist of altars and installations by Yreina D. Cervantez, Guadalupe Rodriguez, Dj Diablo, Mondo Diaz, Derrick Maddox and Sandy Rodriguez.
Shoes and Hot Pants for the departed have been created by artists: Abel Alejandre, Albert Reyes, Alessandro Thompson, Ann Lambert, Anne Martens, Armando H. Torres, Plume by Asha, Cosmo Segurson, Damon Shindler, Flora Ito, Francisco Javier Iribarren, Gilbert Magú Lujan, John Bedell, Lisa Case, Megumi Nakai, Natalie Macias, Niel S. Poziuna and Aaron Accord, Pat Gomez, Peter Carrillo, Quincy Young, Rainbow Underhill, Rebeka Rodriguez, Richard S. Duardo, Scott Winterrowd, Sean Daly, Shizu Saldamando, Sophia Allison, Overton Loyd, Victoria Delgadillo from Los Angeles, San Francisco, Tokyo and Paris.
Invited artists are creating shoes and hot pants as offerings to the dead who have influenced their lives. The souls of the departed will be guided to Highland Park by the smell of pungent marigolds and the offerings. The muertos will pass through the celestial windows to inhabit their offerings in the land of the living. The souls will then join in the dance party/celebration. The shoes and hot pants will be for sale for collectors and fashionistas just in time for this year’s Dia De los Muertos celebrations.
Where: Avenue 50 Studio,131 No. Avenue 50, Highland Park, CA 90042 (323) 258-1435
When: Saturday, October 13, 2007 from 7-11 pm
Duration: Oct 13 - November 4, 2007
Market activity in zip codes 90031, 90032, 90041, 90042 and 90065 for October 1 through October 7, 2007 as reported in I-Tech MLS
Eagle Rock Music Festival 2007 featured an outstanding musical lineup of rock, jazz, hip-hop, salsa, international and latin bands.
Above: Tom, Mike and Bob talk to a vistor at our booth.
Mime Mark Wenzel, an Eagle Rock resident, strolled the Boulevard in his Professor Weasley persona, intriguing people with his theremin.
Capoeira is an amazing blend of martial arts and dance, set to an commanding rhythm. You can sense the energy as the crowd takes up the chant. Be forgiving of this videographer -- I was squeezing through the crowd from about 8 people back.
Sigo siendo el mantener mi cerradura-en en la recomendación del uso de préstamo. Apenas no veo una enorme cantidad de upside a flotar la tarifa de hipoteca. Hay un miedo subyacente del stagflation en los mercados. El consumidor americano hizo la gripe, causar por el acceso arrestado al dinero fácil. Precios del petróleo más altos crean materia-empujan el efecto de la inflación de que el fed (agradecidamente) no no hará caso. Mientras que convengo con la gente de PIMCo que la gripe del consumidor podría lanzar nuestra economía en una recesión suave, me no convencen con su conclusión de que el fed corte agresivamente tarifas al bastón él apagado.
Tenemos cuatro informes económicos IMPORTANTES el venir fuera de viernes, todo el empleo relacionado. Si son anémicos, las tarifas de hipoteca podrían caer dramáticamente; los prestamistas renegociarán las cerraduras de la tarifa para reflejar esa gota. Si aparecen inflacionista, le protegerán.
Nada ha cambiado para el término cercano;
cerradura-en tarifas de hipoteca en el uso.
No veo tarifas el tirar encima de dramáticamente pero
tenderán un pedacito más arriba. Wall Street
entiende que el fed no cortará tarifas en octubre.
Hecho frente con opciones entre staving de una recesión y la
inflación que lucha, Bernanke optará por la inflación que lucha
cada día. Si el riesgo de los supercedes de la
inflación el riesgo de la recesión, el fed no corta tipos de
interés.
Cerradura-en tarifas en el uso. Cerradura-en tarifas en el uso. Cerradura-en tarifas en el uso.
Si las cosas cambian, usted lo descubrirá aquí primero.
Our fear from Wednesday was justified. I hope you took our advice and locked your mortgage rate.
From Wednesday:
I'm still maintaining my lock-in at loan application recommendation. I just don't see a tremendous amount of upside to floating the mortgage rate. There is an underlying fear of stagflation in the markets. The American consumer had the flu, caused by the arrested access to easy money. Higher oil prices create a commodity-push inflation effect that The Fed (thankfully) won't ignore. While I agree with the folks from PIMCo that the consumer's flu could throw our economy into a mild recession, I'm not convinced with their conclusion that the Fed will aggressively cut rates to stave it off.
We have four MAJOR economic reports coming out Friday, all employment related. If they are anemic, mortgage rates could drop dramatically; lenders will renegotiate rate locks to reflect that drop. If they appear inflationary, you'll be protected.
Nothing has changed for the near term; lock-in mortgage rates at application.
I don't see rates shooting up dramatically but they will trend a bit higher. Wall Street understands that the Fed won't cut rates in October.
Faced with choices between staving off a recession and fighting
inflation, Bernanke will opt for inflation fighting every day. If the
risk of inflation supercedes the risk of recession, the Fed won't cut
interest rates.
Lock-in rates at application. Lock-in rates at application. Lock-in rates at application.
if things change, you'll find it out here first.
Community Split Over 'New' Plan
by Edward Rivera
A recently announced agreement between 14th District Councilmember Jose Huizar and Autry National Center President John Gray over the future of the Southwest Museum has been met by a storm of protests in Northeast LA, and seemingly raises more questions than it answers. In addition, the agreement, which consists of a memo from Gray to Huizar, creates a new organization-The Southwest Society-made up of elected officials and various local citizens who will meet to direct fundraising for the Autry Center and Southwest Museum. Curiously, no current members of the Friends of the Southwest Museum Coalition, made up of 70 local community groups ”including neighborhood councils” who have led the fight to keep the Museum open on a full-time basis, were named to the group.
A local ad hoc group, the Northeast Progressive Alliance, kicked up a wave of protests, both public and private, when it announced its support of the "agreement," hailing it as a "victory." Most community members did not know any agreement or plan was forthcoming and were put off by being left out of whatever negotiations took place. .......
Full story available in the October Arroyo Seco Journal. On the streets now, and online at http://www.arroyosecojournal.blogspot.com
Who's the better loan adviser? Ricardo or Brian?
Usual logic would dictate that my grey hair and 20 years experience in financial services make me the obvious choice. Today, that just ain't so.
The mortgage industry went through a paradigm shift this summer. Lending guidelines changed in 2003, changed again this summer, and have been continually evolving ,at the warp speed, since August 2, 2007. Each week is a new experience as banks barrage us with e-mails about what they will or will not allow. The well-coiffed, middle-aged lady, at the local bank, may be the absolute worst choice for you. The spiky haired, tech savvy, and ambitious young mortgage broker may be the better choice.
Here are Five Reasons Why The Ricardos May be a Better Choice For You Than The Brians:
1- Brians are established. That's a positive, right? Maybe not. Brians are dealing with past clients right now. Many of those past clients "snuck a HELOC" on the home and are running back to the Brians for help. The Brians have to take care of their past clients. Unaware of their clients' financial suicide, the Brians are scrambling to f